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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
RT @CristinaAlesci: Michael Bloomberg, the ultimate data guy, is ignoring the data --from @ForecasterEnten and me https://t.co/TqvVBz9jay — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Ideologically, Bloomberg as a Biden sub makes a lot of sense. Demographically, it makes zero sense. The idea that Biden will lose black & white working class support to Bloomberg seems far fetched... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I will never not love this. https://t.co/nwtYuZXjX6 — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
From a Fox News poll last week, https://t.co/O4cn4cfCtH These are not strong numbers, but who knows what a few hundred million might do. https://t.co/NH6I2RB5z1 — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Well, this is interesting. No real sign most voters want this, but you never know https://t.co/O6RdzlmvVE — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Imagine how much Popeyes could be bought for the money Steyer is putting towards his campaign. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
(Iowa is such a mess...) — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
NYC adopts ranked choice voting and my college prof weeps. He was a huge approval voting guy... I can hear him now "violations of monotonicity!!!!" — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
This is really tight. #kygov — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
This makes LA Gov (coming soon) to be an extremely intriguing race to me. Polling indicates Edwards will do better than round one (relative to 50%), and I do think black turnout will be up based on past LA runoffs. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
There was extremely limited public polling data in KY, but what there was didn't overestimate the Dems in a state with a LOT of white working class voters. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Trump's approval rating is quite high in KY. The state is trending red even on the state level... And yet, here we are with Beshear more than holding his own. Bevin is a bad politician and Beshear is a good one... Candidates matter. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
If you had asked my teachers in the late 90s what I would do for a living, this would NOT surprise them. If you asked my teachers in the early 00s, they'd have said meteorologist. But I've known for a pretty long time what I wanted to do... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@Nate_Cohn I remember 1976 very well... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I actually remember when Kentucky was a swing state in prez elections. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I just received a call about my car's warranty. There's just one problem. I don't own a car. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
https://t.co/FYHwdH6fw2 <----------- — PolitiTweet.org
Steadman™ @AsteadWesley
My flight back from Iowa landed 27 minutes ago https://t.co/eGHRjCZnph
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@Neil_Paine OMG. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
This interview is like if @Neil_Paine interviewed me... (Isaac and Nate are closer than I am to Popeyes and diet A&W Cream Soda...) https://t.co/qtaoYhcvLm — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I'll phrase this bluntly (though I think it's obvious): Biden does well in states where people other than white folks make up sizable number of voters. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Even if it were 3 points to the right of nation as it was in 2016... the Warren/Trump matchup would be competitive... Of course, maybe the EC/pop vote gap disappears. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Forget the NYT/Siena polls for a second. If you average all the national polls, Biden +8, Sanders +6, Warren +5. Some have argued that the tipping pt state could be 5 pts to right of nation. Not saying that's right (IDK), but if it were, election would be quite competitive. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
My Father was Greatest Generation, so IDK what this whole Boomer thing is about. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I'm not making this out of thin air... If you look at ALL the polls... Not just those listed on RCP... You've seen consistently that Biden is doing better than Warren or Sanders. Could that change? Sure. We're a year out... but the numbers are the numbers. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Look at the subset of voters who are NOT Democrats or Democratic leaning independents... That is non-potential Dem primary voters... Biden's net fav is 11 points higher among those who hold an opinion of both Biden and Warren... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
In our last national poll, Biden's net favorable among voters who have an opinion of both Biden and Warren is 4 points higher than Warren's... We can go deeper than that too... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I think Mr. Cohn pointed this out, but I think those thinking Warren doing worse than Biden cause of name id are mistaken. He points to Iowa where even Buttigieg (much lower name id) is doing nominally better.... I'll give you some more data... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@Nate_Cohn D8mn. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@EsotericCD @SteveKornacki @NoahCRothman I was middle age in 1927. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@nymetrowx Just make it happen. — PolitiTweet.org