(((Harry Enten)))

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

RT @rp_griffin: 🚨Job Alert🚨 The Voter Study Group is hiring a Research Fellow. We’ll be surveying 500k Americans to try and help people bet… — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@nymetrowx Just bring us snow. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

"What did the UK elections teach us about 2020? Trust the polls." Polls were solid (not *perfect*) in the UK just like they were in the US since Trump took office. Also stop trying to guess which side polls will underestimate. https://t.co/SKvbbwFfCx — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

i just find this type of denial amazing cause it's easily proven wrong. Yes, Brexit played a role, but the number 1 issue for Labour's defeat found in the polls was a leader who had a -40 pt net favorability rating. https://t.co/i47xh7V2sO https://t.co/fdYYA33Mzm — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Sanders was, not surprisingly, leading the field with 33%... Less dramatic than Q-Pac, however. (And Sanders does about as well overall.) — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I was curious about this given Q-Pac's polling... In CNN polling in Oct and Nov., Buttigieg has averaged 8% among voters under 35 (vs. 9% overall). So not quite the dramatic age gap Q-Pac has shown. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

There's a real argument to be made that the curbing of superdelegate power on the Dem side is much less consequential than the elimination of almost all the caucuses. Primaries empower those candidates who tend to be weak with the activist base. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@nymetrowx T.R.A.S.H — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Lots of causes for what happened in UK, but one universal lesson is elections are choices. Johnson was not a popular leader, & he may very well have lost a straight referendum vote. But Labour put up a guy w/ a -40 pt net favorability rating. What'd you think was gonna happen? — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@NathanWurtzel I'll have more on this, but it's about half the error rate compared to an average of the prior 20 elections. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@PatrickRuffini Looks a lot more like a Dem primary these days. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Change Research looks like... nothing else. Like nothing else. Doesn't mean they're wrong. It's just that they look like nothing else. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@nymetrowx This winter stinks. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

With a win on Sunday, the Bills secure their best record since before my bar mitzvah. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

You know how much Popeyes and Wendy's you can buy for $100 million? — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

High quality poll... — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I just asked a family member in Huntsville for a snow photo. Her response? To tell me it's "beautiful here" and then not send a photo. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Seems impt to me... but while Q-Pac continues to show that while a majority of folks haven't made up their mind, Biden/Sanders voters are much more likely to say they have than Warren or Buttigieg's https://t.co/T0nbvsliq2 — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Again, these Sanders numbers are not bad in Monmouth. Liked to see what happens if media turns back to him, but these aren't bad numbers. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

So I assume we'll have loads of articles about how Democrats think Obama was a better president than Washington? https://t.co/GHIdYFZL2m https://t.co/WeeqrnBpRc — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I noticed this as well. It is notable, I think. Also notable, he's got his entire base behind him, while the Dems are more split on their candidates. Question is whether Dems rally after nomination fight. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@xenocryptsite ur right on this. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I know there is a giant asterisk around Iowa in 1992, but even if someone showed me the results of NH through March 3... I would not think Clinton was well on his way to winning the nomination here. Just some food for my own thought. https://t.co/R9abSPRo3x — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@RalstonReports I think he could def win there. 3/3 is a hard train to stop. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Unless... he loses NV... but that sets up some major showdowns. I had a smart guy say to me he thinks Sanders is more viable than Buttigieg given Buttigieg has basically no black support. IDK if I agree, but it's not a crazy thought. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Like what's going to happen... A wave of last second endorsements against a guy who has won 3 primaries... And doing so when you know that could tear the party apart? — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Play this out... Sanders is quite viable in IA, NH, and NV. He's got boatloads of cash. The party isn't backing him, but tbh they aren't really backing anyone. If he wins IA, he probably wins NH. Then... — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Buddha-judge just strikes me as so much easier than Boot-Edge-Edge. But I feel like I'm in the minority on this one. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@jodyavirgan Two for a faucet. One for a shower. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Me, myself, and Jess. — PolitiTweet.org