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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Polling averages are imprecise. Yes, the VA polls were quite on target. In NJ, it looks far closer than the polls. Still the 95% confidence interval on polling averages in gov races is +/- 12 points. Both NJ & VA should be within that. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Feel like a chicken with his cutoff looking at these NJ results. IDK what to make of em because of the difference in results by vote method. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I thought the baseball season ended when the Yhonkays lost. I guess not. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
It's obvious but overall this is shaping up to be a great night for Republicans. A bad night (with some exceptions) for progressives. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
The top issue in the VA exit polls is the economy. The top issue nationally is the economy. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
The only political theory that seems to hold over time is that there are no permanent majorities... cc @seantrende — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@ForecasterEnten If I had one piece of advice to young folks is that you gotta be you. You can only fake it for so long, and you'll be unhappy when you do it. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
When you are young, you think you're weird (e.g. make up imaginary universes & love tv jingles). When you get older, you realize everyone is weird... and you're more comfortable with yourself. Well at least I am. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
My new Margins of Error episode (https://t.co/395OOt2vWO) is a rare politics one. I look at why it took so long to call the 2020 election, what effects it had, & whether future elections will take so long to call too. (With @redistrict, @nate_cohn, & @pastpunditry) — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
The only things I'll say going into tonight are margins matter more than binary outcomes for putting elections in national context and that you should look at as many elections as possible before jumping to conclusions. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@ForecasterEnten Filled means full. 20 voicemail limit, btw on my phone. It's been that way for a long while cause my Father used to leave me messages, and I don't have the heart to listen or delete. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Last week's Margins of Error episode on phone anxiety got me thinking: how many unread voicemails do most people have in their inbox? Hit RT & tell me ur number. I'll start: 20 (i.e. filled) Bonus points if you can add a picture like the example attached https://t.co/m7UFQWGe0N https://t.co/9SNDRe6UoE — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
These guys were nominees in reverse order of their birth year... Gore (born in 48), Kerry (born in 43), Biden (born in 42) https://t.co/094tjIvF5S — PolitiTweet.org
Kate Sullivan @KateSullivanDC
Biden talks to Al Gore and John Kerry as the pivotal COP26 climate summit in Glasgow gets underway. https://t.co/wV01LWottO
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Confession: i haven't had fried chicken since mid-May. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Amazing how T-Mac was down 8 points last night and up 1 today. Must be something in the water. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@Phil_Mattingly AWWWWWWWW. U do know how to brighten my day :). — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@Phil_Mattingly I'm okay. I hope you enjoy Italy :). — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@Phil_Mattingly Hi Phil. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@nymetrowx We want snow by Nov 15. I don't want to hear any excuses about climatology. Call up snow and tell it to get here. Thank you :). — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NathanWurtzel Amazing how such simple and true things cannot be accepted. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NathanWurtzel They're playing a game tonight? — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
New Margins of Error episode! We dive into why fewer of us are using the phone to chat...and why some of us are afraid of talking on the phone. (I'm one of those folks—most Millennials prefer texting!) Oh, and my Mom makes an appearance to tell me off. https://t.co/m7UFQWGe0N — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Soon I change my Twitter avatar back. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
We can't lose sight of what is most important: the New York Yhonkays are not in the world series. They were eliminated a hilariously long time ago & haven't been to a world series in many, many years. A sign that good things do happen. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
For all the lovebirds out there...how much of an age gap is there between your partner and you? That's what we're digging into on the latest episode of Margins of Error. RT = less than five years. Fav = five years or more. (And don't forget to listen! https://t.co/QRJZRR3SEI) https://t.co/xV0FzsBfRd — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Trump is STILL leading Biden in Google searches. Biden & Trump are tied for the % of VA voters say each is motivating them to vote. If Dems win in VA, despite Biden being unpopular, it would be a sign of how Trump can harm the GOP even when not in office. https://t.co/3pFbdc2WJN — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Average those polls. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
On this week's episode of Margins of Error: The "rule" for relationships — you know the one... divide by two, add seven. Do people actually follow it? Does it actually work? We look at the history, the stats & the implications w/ @fakedansavage. https://t.co/QRJZRR3SEI — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Sean McDermott: I am going to totally change the atmosphere of this franchise and turn it from a perennial loser to a contender. Some on Twitter: HOW DARE YOU GO FOR IT AND MAKE THE CORRECT ANALYTICAL DECISION. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Bills lost a heart breaker last year at Arizona on a hail mary. They then won 8 in a row and didn't lose again until the AFC championship game. They'll come back from this loss and be just fine. — PolitiTweet.org
