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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
If you do a search of the Newsbank archive for Iowa & caucuses, you get half as many hits in December of 2019 as you do December of 2015... Part of that may be only one side going, but overall takeaway is less primary coverage it seems nationally. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NateSilver538 K... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@islivingston @capitalweather THE GOOD STUFF!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@islivingston @capitalweather on your way to millimeters of snow!!! — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@jmestepa Do you have mittens? — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@SteveKornacki Fascinating! — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
The 04 Iowa entrance poll looks like it could fit like a glove to what may happen in 2020. Kerry won those caucuses, despite the vast majority being against the Iraq war (which he voted for). He did so thanks to voters liking his experience and ability to beat Bush. https://t.co/xLhpaOUm2h — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@MorningConsult What will this include asks the people? — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I receive texts from my second Mom, and I love them. She just learned how to text recently, and she's perfect for it. Short messages that get to the pt. Better than 99% of the texts I receive. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Castro is a fine get for Warren (and certainly welcomed I'm sure), but close to 50% of Dems had no opinion of him. And those who did were mixed. Unsure it's worth more than a regular endorsement. It will mean more if others follow. (Duh.) — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
This wouldn't be surprising... Of note, Chafee has run for office as a Republican, independent, Democrat and now perhaps as a Libertarian. — PolitiTweet.org
CATargetBot @CATargetBot
NEW FEC F1 #POTUS Lincoln Chafee For President https://t.co/LGKYQPKrDm https://t.co/gdgkIFf2GD
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Somewhat amazing to me how much money Buttigieg has raised given he's a distant fourth nationally, has few endorsements, and is at best tied for 1st in IA with major problems lurking in future states given his low polling among nonwhite voters. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@nymetrowx Delete your account. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
(I also am surprised at how this is being framed by some. The IA #s especially are pretty darn static in the top-3 since the last YouGov poll.) — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Folks, those polls out today show what's been apparent for a while in the averages. Warren dropping. A 3-way tie in IA, etc. There should be more data over the next week I would think... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I had a bunch of people get in touch with me during and after yesterday's Buffalo Bills game. My thoughts on what transpired are attached... https://t.co/iKFzdBi5ag — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NathanWurtzel Why you showing me clips from teams that lost in the playoffs? — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I covered 4 reasons I thought in here for lack of IA polling and it pretty much lines up with what Summer Me is saying. Top two are cost & impeachment. https://t.co/lXN5WfmJM2 — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
6) I see a lot of DNC conspiracy in my feed. The DNC hasn't reached out to me about our polling plans, and we would… https://t.co/Tx1pCDhfJ6
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
RT @jmestepa: Today in conversations with @ForecasterEnten #LittleWomen https://t.co/oNLIU0KkIz — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@Nate_Cohn Isn't that odd?!?! — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@databyler I know that gif! — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I'm trying to think why NH feels less impt than usual. I think it's no candidate is doing much better in NH than IA (like say a McCain or even a Trump), so who wins a. is likelier to win b. But interested in thoughts... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I'm not sure I'd rather be the candidate with more cash or more endorsements, but I'm pretty sure I'd rather be the guy with more endorsements and better primary polling than the guy with more cash. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
From what I can tell: When the endorsement leader & the money leader (cumulative) differed at this point, the money leader won 1 of 4 times. You can look at that however you want. It's a small sample size. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NoahCRothman @LoganDobson In our last poll, Biden runs up like an 80 point margin (with ~10% undecided) among Dem primary voters under 45 who don't vote for Biden in the primary. (I could look at past polls to get a younger crosstab, but the point is made.) — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@nymetrowx I blame u. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I'm old enough to recall these... https://t.co/5bayuXkdMy — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@kyletblaine He looks the same. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NateSilver538 I should say relatively speaking. Unless you have found something different, on day with a lot of primaries, I'd rather win say Texas by say 100 delegates than CA by 30. Even if CA has more delegates overall. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
In proportional primaries, winning a state (unless it's a first two or maybe four) means very little. It's all about margins. If the CA polling was the result on E-Day, the top contenders would all gain about the same # of delegates. — PolitiTweet.org
Daniel Strauss @DanielStrauss4
The Buttigieg campaign, too, is betting big on California. https://t.co/Waq0D9WmzS
