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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
A live look at Sanders HQ https://t.co/Q8fMUdUn7Q — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NathanWurtzel YAY!!!!!!!!!!!! — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Think this is right. — PolitiTweet.org
Varad Mehta @varadmehta
What can the Democratic establishment do to stop Bernie Sanders if he gets on a roll? Probably not much, argues… https://t.co/5JqtnzZjaf
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Solely based off of general election polls & relative to other Dem performances in their home state (non-prez)... Seems to me that Sanders has a much better electability argument than Warren. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I still don't get the Hart bounce in 84 into NH. He wasn't close to Mondale in IA. He didn't really outperform his polls in IA. Like I'd have expected a small bounce, but he just flew! — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
IDK what the baseline is. But not a lot of polling from IA... but pretty clear Sanders has picked up ground. (I wil… https://t.co/JaYZ7u9mOn — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Lots of different averages out there, but (!) Sanders hit his high in the RCP average since like April. I think that's notable. I'll further note I think a lot of these recent IA polls are too old, which with the age breakdown in this primary undersells him. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I'll have more on this, but there's a lot of focus on the majority of folks who say Trump should be tossed in our poll. When you dig deeper, I don't think this is a bad poll for the prez. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Overplayed: caring whether your candidate is ahead or behind by say 3 in Iowa. Underplayed: Realizing that unless y… https://t.co/xRNH3UiqW7 — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NateSilver538 HA! — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NateSilver538 (Honestly, I pay so little attention to them since Warren hit 50%!) — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NateSilver538 Maybe!... but has Sanders tended to be overdone in the markets generally speaking? — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NateSilver538 It's Selzer that is getting a big weight I think in the markets... I think. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Klobuchar could pull it off, but we're still looking at less than a 1-in-10 shot... Lots of candidates to jump over. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@LoganDobson Gosh I remember that! — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
BTW, Biden's been at 24ish% with others below 20% in last 3 publicly released polls out off Iowa: Monmouth, Neighborhood (which had one of the craziest write-ups ever and I'd be hesitant of trusting) and Binder. He was at 15% in last CNN/Selzer poll. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
What's crazy about this is that even if this were the average, I'd think Biden would "only" have a 1-in-2 (or 5-in-10) shot of winning. (Lots of candidates + high volatility in closing weeks.) — PolitiTweet.org
Natasha Korecki @natashakorecki
JUST IN: New @JoeBiden takes six-point lead in Iowa poll (Focus on Rural America) Biden 24% -1 Warren 18% -5… https://t.co/m3tt58gexU
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
LOL. Like endorsing coke and pepsi. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@TexasTribAbby It's a great film! — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I don't regret spending my last hour watching the Parent Trap. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I am endorsing the Buffalo Bills, Columbia Lions, any team but Duke and any team but the Yankees. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
If you were to look back since 1980, you could imagine the polling average in Iowa at this point to have an MoE around each top 4 candidate of like +/- 15 to 16. (Some might say that's underselling it.) That's nuts & gives you an understanding of how crazy this could get. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@nymetrowx I've somehow seen worse. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@nymetrowx It looks good! Well compared to the rest of this trash winter. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NateSilver538 Concur. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NateSilver538 U prefer skinny or steak fries? or you more of a waffle guy? — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Shoot I forgot to eat my green beans from Bojangles last night. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
RT @kyletblaine: NEW: Exclusive: Warren accused Sanders in tense post-debate exchange of calling her a 'liar' on national TV https://t.co/f… — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@kyletblaine @Kyle_Feldscher Yes. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@POLITICO_Steve what a traitor u r. — PolitiTweet.org
