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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Ronald McDonald. Well at least he'd make good burgers. — PolitiTweet.org
Matt McDermott @mattmfm
Honestly curious: based on where things stand today, who stands the best chance of being the Democratic nominee?
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NoahCRothman We r lucky we got this much. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Some quick math... In the six counties (taking into account % of precincts in) with the lowest attendee to state del ratio, Buttigieg is leading by an average of about 20 pts. In the six counties with highest attendee to state del ratio, it's Sanders by about 20 pts. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Historically, this is the type of thing that could really give Buttigieg a real boost in NH. It would also be quite bad for Biden. But here's the thing: this is 62% in. And this is all very odd. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
The networks (pretty much all of them) said SDE's were their thing. That seems to be playing out... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Some of you will be pleased soon. Some of you won't. But know this: Popeyes is far superior to KFC, and it's not close. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@kyletblaine It's 1999. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
TBH, the 2016 GOP primary was out of this world cause Trump is Trump. But mechanically (guy with early poll lead, wins NH, and wins nomination) was "boring." This 2020 Dem primary has a lot of potential to produce something far stranger & unpredictable... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Very odd thing here... I hear CW and think "wow Bloomberg must be doing well." I look at the polling and he isn't cracking 10% nationally in the average & is nowhere in the early states (by design). But can CW move polling? (Honest question.) — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@Taniel Could be! Though perhaps more of a moderate clog is helpful to Sanders... I could also argue that if Sander… https://t.co/KvCaHRt0hN — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
We know a. Sanders leads in NH & b. expectations matter a ton. Hence, I think it's pretty clear the person most hurt by this extended no votes from Iowa is Buttigieg (if the conventional wisdom about IA results is right). — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
This is one of those moments where I step back and ask "is this real life?" — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I spoke this at length this morning on the air. It also comes as the Dems aren't doing anywhere near as well in the… https://t.co/G6kgZ7R2gP — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
I feel like turnout being rather low in Iowa is a theme of underrated importance.
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Iowa is not important because it has many delegates. (It doesn't.) It's important because of the bounce (or deflation) candidates get out of there. Muddled picture (late release of data + potential for different counts to show different leaders) lessen that potential. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I'm not that old, but I'm not that young. Further, I watch old election night tapes for fun. This... I think is second only to Election Night 2000 for overall WTH. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
It's back. https://t.co/97FXljMGmz — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Post your dog (or cat) photos in this thread. We should get some smiles :). — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Gonna launch into my Torah portion soon... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I'm thisssssss close to taking a nap. And I live for this stuff... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I could have napped. Shoot. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Folks, these exits are going to be re-weighted when we get actual results. Give it some time. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Gotta make do... So it's a Diet Dr. Pepper tonight. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I love this stuff. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
What time might we get a winner?... https://t.co/XYvkVmZN87 — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
That you realize you have been getting half of your texts and like sending none of them... Yikes. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
If Sanders wins tonite, then goes to NH... and then goes to NV... that's a tough train to stop... but gotta get through tonite first to get to that... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@Nate_Cohn Better called "the Fremont" or "the Johnson" problem? — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Remember even if ur candidate loses, they won ur love... so they did win in a way... but in a more important way, they lost. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@SteveKornacki @PollsterPatrick @geoffreyvs @johndeeth John's site is great. I cited it on air today. Fremont vs. Johnson is nuts! — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
The more I've looked at this SDE system... My goodness. I totally get why Sanders people want that first vote out there in Iowa... — PolitiTweet.org
