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SBF @SBF_FTX

@MrEbitda https://t.co/FMSyED7WbF ;) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 16, 2021
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SBF @SBF_FTX

@friscojosh how are you defining 'production' and 'more predictive'? E.g.: a) you have more first downs than thir… https://t.co/imcdDAgcJr — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 16, 2021
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SBF @SBF_FTX

@BrockinBoston @Ben_E89 @friscojosh On the flipside, though, on 1st downs both running and passing are pretty reaso… https://t.co/Sg20uo8B61 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 16, 2021
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SBF @SBF_FTX

@BrockinBoston @Ben_E89 @friscojosh but why isn't the same effect there on 1st down? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 16, 2021
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SBF @SBF_FTX

@UncleLuke58 I woke up, and someone was wrong on the internet. The world chose violence for me. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 16, 2021
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SBF @SBF_FTX

@friscojosh burn — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 16, 2021
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SBF @SBF_FTX

@Ben_E89 @friscojosh yuuuuuup — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 16, 2021
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SBF @SBF_FTX

@BrockinBoston @Ben_E89 @friscojosh that's true on first down too, though; not sure I'd expect to have strong splits based on downs — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 16, 2021
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SBF @SBF_FTX

FWIW this very much lines up with my prior -- most splits are dumb attempts to construct a narrative, and in fact j… https://t.co/7Mn7jOcl48 — PolitiTweet.org

Timo Riske @PFF_Moo

@benbbaldwin Fwiw, 3rd down performance isn't more volatile and less predictive after accounting for the lower samp… https://t.co/PfEP0c7fLq

Posted Oct. 16, 2021
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SBF @SBF_FTX

@elhartista @Ninjascalp I'd really love to be the Wikipedia editors fighting over whether or not to include "...he… https://t.co/kLoolVYpYG — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 16, 2021
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SBF @SBF_FTX

@JoeyWong_t3ch ya it's nice! — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 16, 2021
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SBF @SBF_FTX

13) In the end, I now see myself has having two core roles: a) Make sure that in the end we make the right decisi… https://t.co/T3VF75xi1F — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 16, 2021
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SBF @SBF_FTX

12) Anyway, I guess this is another thing to file the ever growing list of "things I hope never happen to FTX". — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 16, 2021
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SBF @SBF_FTX

11) It's been 8 years since fivethirtyeight's presidential election model was more accurate than the in-house model… https://t.co/52Bd2d5fe8 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 16, 2021
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SBF @SBF_FTX

10) Over time, like so many things, its content has become a random milieu of smart-but-not-smart-enough takes, and… https://t.co/dx02AS3kd8 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 16, 2021
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SBF @SBF_FTX

9) Relative to the status quo, that accurately describes fivethirtyeight circa 2008: the best public resource for e… https://t.co/qifr6UA4RW — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 16, 2021
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SBF @SBF_FTX

8) That's what teams hire departments to try to do--come up with actionable analyses that are better than public on… https://t.co/GHT9AN5bvh — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 16, 2021
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SBF @SBF_FTX

7) And that article is boring. But to write a better-than-boring article, you have to say more than the average sp… https://t.co/DHvfGAsDGt — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 16, 2021
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SBF @SBF_FTX

6) The thing is, writing constant sports columns is *hard*. In the end, what's the "right" article on the Chargers… https://t.co/LYc8XhsSYu — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 16, 2021
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SBF @SBF_FTX

5) But more damningly, there's no attempt to justify this as a likely factor. What makes the priors on it high eno… https://t.co/CAzeDctRGj — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 16, 2021
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SBF @SBF_FTX

4) So this is a 2 standard deviation effect. Big, right? Not really. There are 15 games this week; just choosing… https://t.co/P4X04QEam9 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 16, 2021
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SBF @SBF_FTX

3) Sample sizes, mostly. The sample sizes so far are pretty small -- around 60 3rd down attempts per team. The di… https://t.co/lAqa1Eb4SX — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 16, 2021
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SBF @SBF_FTX

2) This article is dumb. It is centered around the observation that, this season, Lamar Jackson has been better on… https://t.co/1NS4huhGVa — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 16, 2021
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SBF @SBF_FTX

1) Don't let the drive for a narrative overcome your priors; aka the slow, sad decay of fivethirtyeight. https://t.co/wCvwKpp0v7 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 16, 2021
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SBF @SBF_FTX

Couldn’t sleep, back to the office. Gm to those that’ll never take work off. https://t.co/BggKF5rj1O — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 16, 2021
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SBF @SBF_FTX

RT @amytongwu: 1/ Valve banned blockchain games from Steam yesterday. It’s not surprising. Web2 centralized platforms get a cut of all valu… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 16, 2021 Retweet
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SBF @SBF_FTX

@moondropsapp @FTX_Official <3 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 16, 2021
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SBF @SBF_FTX

@euancharles ya totes -- 1) https://t.co/KfFnnLODrJ, filter date range 2) https://t.co/zfvcxI8fnl, entire start time, end time, and perp — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 15, 2021
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SBF @SBF_FTX

@fubuloubu no but we should — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 15, 2021
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SBF @SBF_FTX

RT @IDrawCharts: Most crypto natives really have no idea how awesome it is we get this stuff for free lol — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 15, 2021 Retweet