ian bremmer

@ianbremmer ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 14, 2022

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Fri Dec 17 16:34:10 +0000 2021

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ian bremmer @ianbremmer

Worth considering alongside Putin saying Ukraine is committing genocide against ethnic Russians. Verifiably false. But most Russians now believe war with Ukraine is likely…and is being instigated by the West. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 17, 2021 Hibernated

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ian bremmer @ianbremmer

Kremlin absolutely knows their “treaty” is a non-starter. Even as an opening negotiating stance, hard to see this as an honest effort (see: Articles 4-7). https://t.co/4Us1vB0Ob8 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 17, 2021 Hibernated

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ian bremmer @ianbremmer

Outright invasion seems unlikely—the economic costs on Russia would be punitive (though easier to tolerate than in 2014)…and opposed by the Russian people. But formal annexation of occupied territories? Maybe with a “buffer zone.” Much more plausible. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 17, 2021 Hibernated