{"id": 1284597575480422401, "geo": null, "lang": "en", "text": "@gelliottmorris @NateSilver538 @DanRosenheck @collprof @Michael_Cobb68 yes, i certainly believe it worked well: the\u2026 https://t.co/t6zzn2uFw3", "user": {"id": 463765807, "url": "http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/people/c/nate_cohn/index.html?action=click&contentCollection=The%20Upshot&module=Byline&region=Header&pgtype=article", "lang": null, "name": "Nate Cohn", "id_str": "463765807", "location": "New York, NY", "verified": true, "following": null, "protected": false, "time_zone": null, "created_at": "Sat Jan 14 13:09:57 +0000 2012", "utc_offset": null, "description": "I write for The New York Times at @UpshotNYT. I cover elections, polling, and demographics. Northwest expat.", "geo_enabled": true, "screen_name": "Nate_Cohn", "listed_count": 6097, "friends_count": 1118, "is_translator": false, "notifications": null, "statuses_count": 42840, "default_profile": true, "followers_count": 262354, "translator_type": "none", "favourites_count": 6321, "profile_image_url": "http://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/801910537219088384/5j_VZ84y_normal.jpg", "profile_banner_url": "https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_banners/463765807/1474561644", "profile_link_color": "1DA1F2", "profile_text_color": "333333", "follow_request_sent": null, "contributors_enabled": false, "default_profile_image": false, "profile_background_tile": false, "profile_image_url_https": "https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/801910537219088384/5j_VZ84y_normal.jpg", "profile_background_color": "C0DEED", "profile_sidebar_fill_color": "DDEEF6", "profile_background_image_url": "http://abs.twimg.com/images/themes/theme1/bg.png", "profile_sidebar_border_color": "C0DEED", "profile_use_background_image": true, "profile_background_image_url_https": "https://abs.twimg.com/images/themes/theme1/bg.png"}, "place": null, "id_str": "1284597575480422401", "source": "<a href=\"https://mobile.twitter.com\" rel=\"nofollow\">Twitter Web App</a>", "entities": {"urls": [{"url": "https://t.co/t6zzn2uFw3", "indices": [117, 140], "display_url": "twitter.com/i/web/status/1\u2026", "expanded_url": "https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1284597575480422401"}], "symbols": [], "hashtags": [], "user_mentions": [{"id": 57029492, "name": "G. Elliott Morris", "id_str": "57029492", "indices": [0, 15], "screen_name": "gelliottmorris"}, {"id": 16017475, "name": "Nate Silver", "id_str": "16017475", "indices": [16, 30], "screen_name": "NateSilver538"}, {"id": 2480249887, "name": "Dan Rosenheck", "id_str": "2480249887", "indices": [31, 44], "screen_name": "DanRosenheck"}, {"id": 185668352, "name": "Laura Connell Pyott \ud83d\udcca", "id_str": "185668352", "indices": [45, 54], "screen_name": "collprof"}, {"id": 410048215, "name": "I \ud83d\udc94polls", "id_str": "410048215", "indices": [55, 70], "screen_name": "Michael_Cobb68"}]}, "favorited": false, "retweeted": false, "truncated": true, "created_at": "Sat Jul 18 21:15:03 +0000 2020", "coordinates": null, "quote_count": 0, "reply_count": 0, "contributors": null, "filter_level": "low", "timestamp_ms": "1595106903320", "retweet_count": 0, "extended_tweet": {"entities": {"urls": [], "symbols": [], "hashtags": [], "user_mentions": [{"id": 57029492, "name": "G. Elliott Morris", "id_str": "57029492", "indices": [0, 15], "screen_name": "gelliottmorris"}, {"id": 16017475, "name": "Nate Silver", "id_str": "16017475", "indices": [16, 30], "screen_name": "NateSilver538"}, {"id": 2480249887, "name": "Dan Rosenheck", "id_str": "2480249887", "indices": [31, 44], "screen_name": "DanRosenheck"}, {"id": 185668352, "name": "Laura Connell Pyott \ud83d\udcca", "id_str": "185668352", "indices": [45, 54], "screen_name": "collprof"}, {"id": 410048215, "name": "I \ud83d\udc94polls", "id_str": "410048215", "indices": [55, 70], "screen_name": "Michael_Cobb68"}]}, "full_text": "@gelliottmorris @NateSilver538 @DanRosenheck @collprof @Michael_Cobb68 yes, i certainly believe it worked well: there wasn't much variance in the last five elections; therefore, a model supposing little variance and no tail risks would do just fine and, yes, better than one that allows for such risks. but does that mean those risks don't exist? no", "display_text_range": [71, 349]}, "favorite_count": 0, "is_quote_status": false, "display_text_range": [71, 140], "in_reply_to_user_id": 57029492, "in_reply_to_status_id": 1284595597949972481, "in_reply_to_screen_name": "gelliottmorris", "in_reply_to_user_id_str": "57029492", "in_reply_to_status_id_str": "1284595597949972481"}