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Michael McFaul

@McFaul ↗

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Last Checked April 18, 2022

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Thu Apr 14 15:23:12 +0000 2022

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Michael McFaul @McFaul

As a former policymaker, I know that Biden & team have to weigh the risks of action vs the risks of inaction. (You only think about the risks of action). I think its a very very low probability event that Putin launches nuclear war because Ukraine gets MiG29s or tanks. 1/ — PolitiTweet.org

Jonathan M. Katz @KatzOnEarth

@McFaul @ZackKopplin It would be helpful if you expressed as much uncertainty about Putin’s willingness to use nucl… https://t.co/x7NgCPew8o

Posted April 14, 2022

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Michael McFaul @McFaul

He does. But he has abandoned the goal of swallowing up all of Ukraine (for now). — PolitiTweet.org

Karen Rylander @KarenRylander

@McFaul But does he see Ukraine as a part of Russia?

Posted April 14, 2022

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Michael McFaul @McFaul

Thats my assessment. It's based on my read o the evidence and 20 years of writing, researching & dealing with Putin. But its just a guess. But I weigh that assessment against the very high costs to US national security interests of Ukraine losing to Russia in Donbas — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 14, 2022