Michael McFaul @McFaul
Yes, another stolen Lukashenko election "win" is likely. (I think a Russian intervention is very unlikely). But that's also what the conventional wisdom said before elections in Serbia in 2000, Georgia 2003, and Ukraine 2004. — PolitiTweet.org
Guy Elster @guyelster
@McFaul And yet, it would end with Lukashenko win, or worse - Russia's intervention