{"id": 1363350474175447041, "geo": null, "lang": "en", "text": "RT @youyanggu: To avoid look-ahead bias/confounding variables, here is the same analysis but using 2016 margin of victory as the predictor.\u2026", "user": {"id": 4207961, "url": "http://allin.msnbc.com", "lang": null, "name": "Chris Hayes", "id_str": "4207961", "location": "Brooklyn", "verified": true, "following": null, "protected": false, "time_zone": null, "created_at": "Wed Apr 11 16:43:58 +0000 2007", "utc_offset": null, "description": "Dad to Ryan, David and Anya\nProud husband of @kateashaw1\nHost of @allinwithchris on MSNBC, weeknights at 8pm. \n#WITHPod Host\nCubs fan\nInsta: chrislhayes", "geo_enabled": true, "screen_name": "chrislhayes", "listed_count": 21226, "friends_count": 1364, "is_translator": false, "notifications": null, "statuses_count": 151122, "default_profile": false, "followers_count": 2413556, "translator_type": "none", "favourites_count": 29656, "profile_image_url": "http://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/1157427683170668544/j0dSHvkO_normal.jpg", "profile_banner_url": "https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_banners/4207961/1519937645", "profile_link_color": "0000FF", "profile_text_color": "000000", "follow_request_sent": null, "contributors_enabled": false, "default_profile_image": false, "profile_background_tile": false, "profile_image_url_https": "https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/1157427683170668544/j0dSHvkO_normal.jpg", "profile_background_color": "9AE4E8", "profile_sidebar_fill_color": "E0FF92", "profile_background_image_url": "http://abs.twimg.com/images/themes/theme1/bg.png", "profile_sidebar_border_color": "87BC44", "profile_use_background_image": true, "profile_background_image_url_https": "https://abs.twimg.com/images/themes/theme1/bg.png"}, "place": null, "id_str": "1363350474175447041", "source": "<a href=\"https://mobile.twitter.com\" rel=\"nofollow\">Twitter Web App</a>", "entities": {"urls": [], "symbols": [], "hashtags": [], "user_mentions": [{"id": 21187702, "name": "Youyang Gu", "id_str": "21187702", "indices": [3, 13], "screen_name": "youyanggu"}]}, "favorited": false, "retweeted": false, "truncated": false, "created_at": "Sun Feb 21 04:50:57 +0000 2021", "coordinates": null, "quote_count": 0, "reply_count": 0, "contributors": null, "filter_level": "low", "timestamp_ms": "1613883057527", "retweet_count": 0, "favorite_count": 0, "is_quote_status": false, "retweeted_status": {"id": 1362109370407022598, "geo": null, "lang": "en", "text": "To avoid look-ahead bias/confounding variables, here is the same analysis but using 2016 margin of victory as the p\u2026 https://t.co/RImvaroHb0", "user": {"id": 21187702, "url": "http://youyanggu.com", "lang": null, "name": "Youyang Gu", "id_str": "21187702", "location": "New York, NY", "verified": false, "following": null, "protected": false, "time_zone": null, "created_at": "Wed Feb 18 11:30:43 +0000 2009", "utc_offset": null, "description": "Creator of http://covid19-projections.com. Presenter of unbiased takes. Realist. Data scientist. @MIT '15.", "geo_enabled": true, "screen_name": "youyanggu", "listed_count": 1448, "friends_count": 583, "is_translator": false, "notifications": null, "statuses_count": 3050, "default_profile": true, "followers_count": 71132, "translator_type": "none", "favourites_count": 2716, "profile_image_url": "http://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/1248684726325411841/Lly7sVB9_normal.jpg", "profile_link_color": "1DA1F2", "profile_text_color": "333333", "follow_request_sent": null, "contributors_enabled": false, "default_profile_image": false, "profile_background_tile": false, "profile_image_url_https": "https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/1248684726325411841/Lly7sVB9_normal.jpg", "profile_background_color": "C0DEED", "profile_sidebar_fill_color": "DDEEF6", "profile_background_image_url": "http://abs.twimg.com/images/themes/theme1/bg.png", "profile_sidebar_border_color": "C0DEED", "profile_use_background_image": true, "profile_background_image_url_https": "https://abs.twimg.com/images/themes/theme1/bg.png"}, "place": null, "id_str": "1362109370407022598", "source": "<a href=\"https://mobile.twitter.com\" rel=\"nofollow\">Twitter Web App</a>", "entities": {"urls": [{"url": "https://t.co/RImvaroHb0", "indices": [117, 140], "display_url": "twitter.com/i/web/status/1\u2026", "expanded_url": "https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1362109370407022598"}], "symbols": [], "hashtags": [], "user_mentions": []}, "favorited": false, "retweeted": false, "truncated": true, "created_at": "Wed Feb 17 18:39:15 +0000 2021", "coordinates": null, "quote_count": 7, "reply_count": 5, "contributors": null, "filter_level": "low", "retweet_count": 24, "extended_tweet": {"entities": {"urls": [], "media": [{"id": 1361833782693810185, "url": "https://t.co/d7zrfuB5jX", "type": "photo", "sizes": {"large": {"h": 800, "w": 800, "resize": "fit"}, "small": {"h": 680, "w": 680, "resize": "fit"}, "thumb": {"h": 150, "w": 150, "resize": "crop"}, "medium": {"h": 800, "w": 800, "resize": "fit"}}, "id_str": "1361833782693810185", "indices": [279, 302], "media_url": "http://pbs.twimg.com/media/EuY0nCyXUAkT_uQ.png", "display_url": "pic.twitter.com/d7zrfuB5jX", "expanded_url": "https://twitter.com/youyanggu/status/1362109370407022598/photo/1", "media_url_https": "https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EuY0nCyXUAkT_uQ.png"}], "symbols": [], "hashtags": [], "user_mentions": []}, "full_text": "To avoid look-ahead bias/confounding variables, here is the same analysis but using 2016 margin of victory as the predictor. Similar results.\n\nThis basically says that 2016 election results is a better predictor of the severity of the fall wave than intervention levels in 2020! https://t.co/d7zrfuB5jX", "extended_entities": {"media": [{"id": 1361833782693810185, "url": "https://t.co/d7zrfuB5jX", "type": "photo", "sizes": {"large": {"h": 800, "w": 800, "resize": "fit"}, "small": {"h": 680, "w": 680, "resize": "fit"}, "thumb": {"h": 150, "w": 150, "resize": "crop"}, "medium": {"h": 800, "w": 800, "resize": "fit"}}, "id_str": "1361833782693810185", "indices": [279, 302], "media_url": "http://pbs.twimg.com/media/EuY0nCyXUAkT_uQ.png", "display_url": "pic.twitter.com/d7zrfuB5jX", "expanded_url": "https://twitter.com/youyanggu/status/1362109370407022598/photo/1", "media_url_https": "https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EuY0nCyXUAkT_uQ.png"}]}, "display_text_range": [0, 278]}, "favorite_count": 140, "is_quote_status": false, "display_text_range": [0, 140], "possibly_sensitive": false, "in_reply_to_user_id": 21187702, "in_reply_to_status_id": 1362109366795665414, "in_reply_to_screen_name": "youyanggu", "in_reply_to_user_id_str": "21187702", "in_reply_to_status_id_str": "1362109366795665414"}, "in_reply_to_user_id": null, "in_reply_to_status_id": null, "in_reply_to_screen_name": null, "in_reply_to_user_id_str": null, "in_reply_to_status_id_str": null}