Eric Weinstein

@EricRWeinstein ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 20, 2022

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Fri Nov 18 16:18:30 +0000 2022

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Eric Weinstein @EricRWeinstein

@AnnaGBusse This strategy of rational incentives among skilled players with non-conventional weapons, well aware of game theoretic traps is coming to an end. Proliferation alone will extend catastrophic weaponry to players all up and down the skill spectrum. We can’t keep playing like this. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2022

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Eric Weinstein @EricRWeinstein

@AnnaGBusse We’re talking on different planes Anna. You’re talking about rational incentives, individual conflicts & maximum likelihood. I am talking about expected value. My point about Belgrade: “[T]he city was battled over in 115 wars and razed to the ground 44 times.” #RussianRoulette — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2022

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Eric Weinstein @EricRWeinstein

@AnnaGBusse Again, we superficially agree. I don’t think we’d have had 75+ years of this kind of peace under the old pre-nuclear rules. The expected value of conflict is unbelievably WORSE not better. Same point: you appear to be focused on maximally likely outcomes vs my expected value. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2022