Seth Abramson

@SethAbramson ↗

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Last Checked May 21, 2022

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Fri Jan 14 18:10:05 +0000 2022

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Seth Abramson @SethAbramson

(PS9) Right now the *only* thing that could *significantly* forestall an invasion of Ukraine—and this is very unlikely—is if Putin sees the prospects of gaining de facto power over Kazakhstan as so high that he decides he wants to focus on that nation for now instead of Ukraine. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 14, 2022 Hibernated

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Seth Abramson @SethAbramson

(PS8) All the evidence on Putin’s intentions is that he’s obsessed with reconstituting the land area of the Soviet Union—if not its political structure (needless to say, he *infinitely* prefers autocracy to communism). In Kazakhstan, in Georgia, in Ukraine, the pattern is clear. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 14, 2022 Hibernated

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Seth Abramson @SethAbramson

(PS10) I suppose I would add, as a secondary matter, that Putin might consider postponing an invasion of Ukraine if it becomes clear to him that the GOP taking the House and impeaching (but not convicting) Biden in 2023 will so weaken Biden that it presages a 2024 Trump victory. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 14, 2022 Hibernated