Bill Kristol

@BillKristol ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 22, 2022

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Tue Aug 16 12:47:59 +0000 2022

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Bill Kristol @BillKristol

2. The simplest way to see this? Look at the Biden approval and generic congressional ballot charts at https://t.co/BYut49mgbu. The Democratic congressional vote follows Biden down (though less dramatically) in the second half of 2021. https://t.co/ZLurbMk5iS — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 16, 2022

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Bill Kristol @BillKristol

1. There's a good account of the case against a red wave in 2022 by @Milbank in the Post. As a longtime contrarian on the inevitability of a 2022 red wave, I'd add one point, the one that struck me first: The decoupling of the generic congressional ballot from the Biden approval. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 16, 2022

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Bill Kristol @BillKristol

3. Biden approval continues to decline in 2022, from -8.3% on Jan. 1 to -15% today. But in the congressional ballot Ds have gained on Rs since March and now have a slight lead. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 16, 2022