Bill Kristol

@BillKristol ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 9, 2022

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Wed Aug 03 13:40:26 +0000 2022

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Bill Kristol @BillKristol

3. ...a pretty substantial pool of not-too-partisan independent votes who are mostly pro-choice, that could exist in other states as well. Can they be motivated to turn out for a pro-choice (presumably Democratic) candidate in November? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022

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Bill Kristol @BillKristol

2. ...assume everyone who voted in the D primary voted NO on the referendum. There are then an additional ~260k non-Democratic NO votes. Now many of those come from the ~185K voters who voted in the referendum but in neither primary. Looking ahead to November, that suggests... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022

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Bill Kristol @BillKristol

4. Perhaps more striking, our rough math suggests there were ~75k R primary voters who voted NO in the referendum. That's over 15% of the R electorate. That suggests a lot of potential Republican swing voters for November. If, say, 1/3 of them swing to a D based on abortion... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022