Christopher Bouzy

@cbouzy ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 28, 2022

Created

Thu Nov 17 16:07:55 +0000 2022

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Christopher Bouzy @cbouzy

We now know Democrats will probably win 213-214, so what happened? My forecast for the House included Democrats doing baldly in Florida, but I expected Democrats to do better in NY. I also expected Democrats to overperform in certain districts in CA. I was wrong about NY & CA... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2022

Preceded By

Christopher Bouzy @cbouzy

Redistricting and gerrymandering made predicting races difficult. Accurately predicting over 400 races with so many unknowns is virtually impossible. But after months of analyzing the data, I knew it would be close, and I predicted Dems would hold the House with 2-6 seats... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2022

Followed By

Christopher Bouzy @cbouzy

I firmly believed several CA districts would trend in Democrats' favor, but with each update, it became clear that wouldn't happen. Hubris laced with overconfidence influenced my judgment; that won't happen again. The data from these midterms will improve my model for 2024... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 17, 2022