David Gauke

@DavidGauke ↗

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Last Checked May 21, 2021

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Sun May 09 18:48:42 +0000 2021

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David Gauke @DavidGauke

But, if there’s a realignment going on, those Conservative council seats lost will be very hard to recover. As the Red Wall becomes more important to the Tories, the more they’ll focus on them at the expense of the Blue Wall; demographic changes will make these areas less Tory... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 9, 2021

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David Gauke @DavidGauke

A couple of further thoughts on those Conservative ‘Blue Wall’ seats that have been won by opposition parties. First, losing council seats, especially to the Lib Dems, doesn’t necessarily mean that Parliamentary losses follow. The Lib Dems tend to over perform in local elections. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 9, 2021

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David Gauke @DavidGauke

... & a national share of the vote for a governing party of 40% is exceptionally high & unlikely to be replicated. All this means that if the Conservatives lost a seat in Herts, Cambs, Sussex, Surrey, Oxon etc, it’ll be hard for them to win in future if the realignment continues. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 9, 2021