Joe Scarborough @JoeNBC
The prediction markets consistently underrated Trump’s chance of winning in 2016 and have consistently overrated it in the three years since—in part because they were so wrong before. He’s a 43% politician. Can’t get there from here. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
I don't get why prediction markets think there's a ~60% chance of a recession this year but that Trump is a ~55% fa… https://t.co/9D2efPwn6o