Perry Bacon Jr.

@perrybaconjr ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 8, 2022

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Tue Dec 31 23:00:30 +0000 2019

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Perry Bacon Jr. @perrybaconjr

Biden at least right now seems to be stronger against Trump than the three other leading candidates.That said, I wonder if those candidates will look stronger as they become better known by voters (Buttigieg) and face fewer attacks from co-partisans (Buttigieg, Sanders, Warren.) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 31, 2019 Hibernated

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Perry Bacon Jr. @perrybaconjr

I think that generally the best answer to a question like "who is going to win race x or state y" is "I'm not totally sure." That said, worth noting that 1. today's Mason-Dixon polls are a bit outlier-ish 2. There is some evidence that outlier polls get outsized attention. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 31, 2019 Hibernated

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Perry Bacon Jr. @perrybaconjr

Democrats are winning virtually every statewide race in Virginia these days and major statewide races in Florida tend to be very close (1-2 points.) Perhaps Buttigieg, a Dem with fairly moderate views, would lose Virginia by 2 and Florida by 4 to Trump. But I'm skeptical. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 31, 2019 Hibernated