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Sahil Kapur

@sahilkapur ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 11, 2022

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Sat Nov 05 23:55:30 +0000 2022

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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

This is about where I am on the wave of R-sponsored polls. Clearly there are disagreements on how the 2022 electorate will look and the averages—not an exact science!—rely on pollsters confident enough to affix reputation to results. We'll know soon who got it right. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The barriers to entry right now in polling are fairly low. If someone thinks the averages are wrong because other f… https://t.co/ge4IkVOuj8

Posted Nov. 5, 2022

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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Ann Selzer's final Iowa Poll of the US Senate race shows Chuck Grassley (R) at 53%, Mike Franken (D) at 41%. https://t.co/8NMwVXiUC7 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2022

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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

One reason I'd caution against being too dismissive is the polls, on average, underestimated GOP strength in three of the last four elections ('20, '16, '14). Now it seems some are modeling the electorate differently. Again, we'll get clarity soon. Only poll that matters is EDay. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 6, 2022