Sahil Kapur

@sahilkapur ↗

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Last Checked May 5, 2021

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Fri Nov 27 19:07:45 +0000 2020

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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

On the state level it’s a mixed bag. Some polling averages like in Arizona and Georgia were fairly accurate; some like Pennsylvania were a few points off; others like Florida, Ohio and Wisconsin were *way* off. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Taking stock of the polls with 98% counted: On the national level it looks like Biden more or less hit his mark but Trump over-performed his final averages by ~3 points. That’s a significant polling miss. https://t.co/qdLs2Yy0Lp — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

All in all, it’s fairly clear there was a hidden Trump vote that surveys didn’t capture. The reasons appear complex and will be studied in the coming months/years. Trump’s over-performance didn’t save his presidency but it appears it forestalled a “blue wave” in Congress. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 27, 2020 Hibernated