Sahil Kapur

@sahilkapur ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 7, 2021

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Sat Sep 05 22:12:48 +0000 2020

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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

In a hypothetical world where Trump loses AZ, not *too* hard to imagine how he wins WI (high share of non-college whites -> juice turnout to offset losses). Harder for me to see a path to winning PA or MI (fewer non-college whites, more Black voters). Election nerds: weigh in! — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Trump’s path to 270 gets pretty narrow if Arizona turns blue. In all likelihood it requires winning Wisconsin and Pennsylvania plus the rest of his 2016 map (see below). If he holds AZ, he doesn’t need PA. Latest 538 average shows Biden+4.6 in AZ and Biden+4.5 in PA. https://t.co/4bab9YOqhY — PolitiTweet.org

My latest: The Trump campaign has canceled it's Phoenix TV ads next week -- and they may not resume until early Oct… https://t.co/p7PIrirUxz

Posted Sept. 5, 2020 Hibernated

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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

https://t.co/qaqj85DuCQ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 6, 2020 Hibernated