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Sahil Kapur

@sahilkapur ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 6, 2021

Created

Tue Sep 01 18:08:20 +0000 2020

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13

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5

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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Context on post-convention average: https://t.co/5HeZcMresu — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Overall, though, the set of polls out over the past couple weeks is of somewhat uneven quality, and really no live-… https://t.co/m93dpyMJer

Posted Sept. 1, 2020 Hibernated

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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Maybe it's been explained and I missed it but I'm curious what the reason is for excluding some of these polls from the RCP average (cc: @TomBevanRCP @SeanTrende). — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RCP is a particularly peculiar case. Yeah, it's a simple polling average, but even a simple poll average would incl… https://t.co/G23aye4c7W

Posted Sept. 1, 2020 Hibernated

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Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur

Good point here: Florida and Arizona will be a useful signifier on election night. If they turn blue then Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin won't be enough to save Trump even if he wins all three. The hypothetical: https://t.co/LxwIJUBP2E — PolitiTweet.org

Nick Riccardi @NickRiccardi

Mail ballots will be counted late in MI, PA and WI. But they will be counted early in AZ and FL, which should count… https://t.co/8PIWaYaYSa

Posted Sept. 1, 2020 Hibernated

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