David Frum

David Frum @davidfrum

Outcome 3a: Respond quickly and decisively to the army's morale crisis, recall troops home to retain a force that can maintain power domestically - as the Soviets attempted to do from Afghanistan, 1989. Or Outcome 3a: Respond too little, too late to the morale crisis — PolitiTweet.org

David Frum @davidfrum

Under Outcome 3b, most soldiers just quit the fight, but few commanders convert their army units into private militias. Those few set up as local warlords. State authority crumples. A new "time of troubles" follows. Let's all hope for Outcome 2. But let's be ready for 3b. — PolitiTweet.org