David Frum

@davidfrum ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 24, 2023

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Mon Feb 20 14:40:24 +0000 2023

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David Frum @davidfrum

Outcome 2: Negotiate now Russia's best available deal. A deal today would probably include: surrender of most occupied Ukraine territory; acceptance of Ukraine EU candidacy, plus Ukraine/NATO partnership - but would likely offer relief from sanctions and escape from reparations — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 20, 2023

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David Frum @davidfrum

...but outcome 1 also freezes in place western economic sanctions - and dooms any hope of recovering EU markets for Russian gas. Option 1 spells permanent economic isolation and decline. Plus, seeking option 1 risks outright battlefield defeat of the Russian army by Ukraine. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 20, 2023

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David Frum @davidfrum

Outcome 2 is the most benign for Russia, but would be the most personally humiliating for Putin. So long as he survives in power, it seems far-fetched, but who knows. Let's hope. More plausible, however, is Option 3: — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 20, 2023 Just a Typo