David Frum

@davidfrum ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 30, 2023

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Sat Jan 21 13:27:46 +0000 2023

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David Frum @davidfrum

The way to get to negotiations is, therefore, to arm Ukraine to the point where Russian leaders fear defeat. The way to thwart negotiations is to withhold arms from Ukraine and leave Russia's leaders with hope they can preserve the status quo. 10/x — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 21, 2023

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David Frum @davidfrum

To get to negotiations with Ukraine, Russia needs to genuinely fear that it could lose its war against Ukraine- lose catastrophically enough that negotiations become a less unacceptable alternative to Russia's leaders. 9/x — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 21, 2023

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David Frum @davidfrum

To put it more formally, Russia's preferences look like Victory > frozen conflict > continuing war > negotiations requiring concessions. The West can only "jump to negotiations" after it has irretrievably denied Russia any hope of success from first three preferences. END — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 21, 2023 Just a Typo