David Frum

@davidfrum ↗

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Last Checked June 27, 2022

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Mon Jun 13 21:12:04 +0000 2022

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David Frum @davidfrum

... the usual precondition of political survival is at least six months of strong growth before election day. Absent strong post-recession growth, and - like George HW Bush after recession of 1990-91 - re-election gets dicey. Which is just "democracy for realists," except ... 2/x — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 13, 2022

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David Frum @davidfrum

A recession doesn't necessarily spell doom for the president on duty. Eisenhower absorbed a 10 month recession in 1953-54 and still got re-elected in 1956. Reagan overcame a ferocious recession in 1981-82 to win re-election in 1984. But ... 1/x — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 13, 2022

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David Frum @davidfrum

... that one of the two parties is likely to be headed in 2024 by the leader of a violent insurrection against the US government. So if the US suffers an incumbent-wrecking recession in 2022-23, it may get a democracy-wrecking election the next year. 3/x — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 13, 2022