Walter Shapiro

@MrWalterShapiro ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 27, 2021

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Wed Sep 09 14:48:46 +0000 2020

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Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro

And "The Gamble" by political scientists John Sides and Lynn Vavreck demonstrates that the net effect of the debate was temporarily moving about 2 percent of Obama support into the "Undecided" camp. They soon came back to Obama. https://t.co/jw2YIm2lHM — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 9, 2020 Hibernated

Preceded By

Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro

Obama's first 2012 debate may have been the worst debate performance in any fall presidential debate since 1960. It didn't move the needle much in a stable election. And a fella named Joe Biden rebounded for the team in the VP debate. — PolitiTweet.org

Of note: Every incumbent president since 1976, except Bill Clinton in 1996, badly lost the first debate because the… https://t.co/ZypU7IPY3H

Posted Sept. 9, 2020 Hibernated

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Walter Shapiro @MrWalterShapiro

@johnmsides Yes. I remember the presentation by the Obama people at the Harvard post-2012 election session. And a safe prediction: I will cite that number from "The Gamble" frequently as we get close to the first debate. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 9, 2020 Hibernated