Max Fisher

@Max_Fisher ↗

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Fri Jun 21 03:32:34 +0000 2019

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Max Fisher @Max_Fisher

As I wrote here, Iran appears to see calculated escalations as its best chance at forcing the world to rein in Trump. As Trump's threat to Iran increases — and Tehran sees the stakes as very high here — so does Iran's escalatory logic. It's dangerous. https://t.co/9gC50olGgf — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 21, 2019

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Max Fisher @Max_Fisher

Iran's security environment also makes it difficult for its country leaders to deescalate in response to a US air strike. An escalatory retaliation, in this climate of mutual distrust & strategic uncertainty, can spiral into full-blown war if neither side feels it can back down. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 21, 2019 Deleted

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Max Fisher @Max_Fisher

That escalatory risk works both ways. As with the Bush admin and Iraq, a number of Trump officials hold deeprooted beliefs about the supposedly implacable threat posed by Iran. As we saw, that can lead officials to gravely overstate threats and the appeal of "preventative" war. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 21, 2019