Max Fisher

@Max_Fisher ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 20, 2021

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Fri Jun 21 03:22:32 +0000 2019

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Max Fisher @Max_Fisher

Iran's complicated internal politics will make it incredibly difficult for Iranian leaders to de-escalate in response to a US air strike. Both civilian and military/paramilitary factions will feel tremendous pressure to support a visibly significant response. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 21, 2019 Deleted

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Max Fisher @Max_Fisher

But Syria had every reason to ignore the strikes. It exercised weak control over its territory, was already subject to ongoing foreign interventions, and had a great power sponsor, Russia, to put a brake on escalation. Iran, by contrast, will feel enormous pressure to retaliate. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 21, 2019 Deleted

Followed By

Max Fisher @Max_Fisher

Iran's security environment also makes it difficult for its country leaders to deescalate in response to a US air strike. An escalatory retaliation, in this climate of mutual distrust & strategic uncertainty, can spiral into full-blown war if neither side feels it can back down. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 21, 2019 Deleted