Paul Krugman

@paulkrugman ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 2, 2020

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Tue Oct 13 12:31:31 +0000 2020

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Paul Krugman @paulkrugman

By the way, 538 gave Trump a 29% chance in 2016 — it did NOT predict a certain Clinton win. And state polls are probably better now than then, bc they weight for education 5/ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 13, 2020

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Paul Krugman @paulkrugman

The 538 model has marked Trump's chances down to 13 percent, from 32 percent at the end of August. (The Economist model has him down to 9%) 4/ https://t.co/R03tcn4W4g — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 13, 2020

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Paul Krugman @paulkrugman

Anyway, while Trump wants to claim the rising market as a form of endorsement, what's really happening is that the market is up despite a clear decline in his prospects. Mr. Market is basically saying that if anything he favors Biden 6/ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 13, 2020 Hibernated