Kevin Robillard 🇺🇸

@Robillard ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 13, 2022

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Fri Jul 29 19:42:05 +0000 2022

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Kevin Robillard 🇺🇸 @Robillard

In this way, a Senate election is likely going to be a more telling indicator of a state’s political environment than a gubernatorial reelect – see Sinema vs. McSally in comparison to Ducey vs. Garcia in Arizona 2018 for an example. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 29, 2022

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Kevin Robillard 🇺🇸 @Robillard

The thing a lot of people are underestimating re: Georgia is the massive incumbency advantage governors have developed in recent years – only nine governors lost reelection bids from 2011-2020, and two of those lost in primaries. — PolitiTweet.org

So there've been at least 6 GA polls of Sen-gov over past month (using those listed in RCP). Kemp average lead is 3… https://t.co/eo35N1bSwr

Posted July 29, 2022

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Kevin Robillard 🇺🇸 @Robillard

Correction: It’s 10 incumbents! (I forget Rauner beating Pat Quinn in 2014.) I think the point still stands, though. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 29, 2022