Tom Bevan

@TomBevanRCP ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 6, 2022

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Tue Sep 20 15:52:56 +0000 2022

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Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

Some particulars about that race: 1) Sinema was arguably a better fit ideologically for AZ than Warnock is for GA. 2) The AZ seat was open, Warnock has additional advantage of being an incumbent. 3) McSally was a bad candidate and ran a bad race. Is Walker in same category? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 20, 2022

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Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

The closest corollary is probably Arizona in 2018: fairly popular GOP incumbent running for governor in an evenly divided state w/competitive senate race below. That year, Ducey won by 15.2% while McSally lost to Sinema by 2.4%. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 20, 2022

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Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

@ClayTravis That certainly seems to be the conventional wisdom. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 20, 2022