Zack Beauchamp

@zackbeauchamp ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 19, 2021

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Wed Nov 03 00:35:43 +0000 2021

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Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp

It’s definitely possible that specific tactical choices of the campaigns - e.g., CRT focus - was the difference-maker. But campaigns matter less than we think. When a result is easily explained by a long-standing structural trend, that’s my prior absent clear evidence. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 3, 2021

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Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp

Still early, but this is looking more like a national/thermostatic story - unpopular Dem president and Congress dragging down ballot candidates - than a Virginia-specific one — PolitiTweet.org

Update at nearly 1500 precincts: Youngkin is still on track for victory, running a ahead of what he needs across ba… https://t.co/3GQkM6hJqQ

Posted Nov. 3, 2021

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Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp

@smithma388 That’s plausible but, if true, you’d expect a bigger shift in NOVA than other parts of the state. Not obvious yet that’s the case. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 3, 2021