Zack Beauchamp

@zackbeauchamp ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 3, 2021

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Fri Apr 24 16:00:56 +0000 2020

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Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp

@HeerJeet No? Trump's virus bump just ended, with approval ratings returning to pre-virus levels. State polls would reflect that lag. Consistent with this theory, @ForecasterEnten finds state polls starting to swing Biden's way...https://t.co/kYS4TgiL1m — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp

@GioRussonello I don't think so. The incumbent advantage should be priced in; last time, late breaking voters generally swung to Trump, but this time around that's less likely because he's so well known. Relatedly, 2016 Trump won voters who disliked both candidates. This time it's the opposite — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 24, 2020 Hibernated

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Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp

@GioRussonello Oh yeah, it's definitely an open question who's going to win. Anyone who thinks the coronavirus make it a lock for Biden are being overconfident — though after 2016, I doubt too many people are making bold predictions — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 24, 2020 Hibernated