Judd Legum

@JuddLegum ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 7, 2022

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Thu Oct 20 18:14:14 +0000 2022

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Judd Legum @JuddLegum

BTW, if you are on a website and it says Candidate X has a 60% chance of winning and Candidate Y has a 40% chance of winning, they are not conveying meaningful information. There will only be one winner, and we don't know who it is yet. That's OK! — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 20, 2022

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Judd Legum @JuddLegum

If you are worried about the outcome of a specific race, it's far better to participate than to try to search out a piece of data to make you feel better. If you don't want to volunteer, just take a walk outside. It will be more productive than reading about polls. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 20, 2022

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Judd Legum @JuddLegum

The underlying mathematics of these probabilities may be valid but that doesn't mean that the information being conveyed is useful or meaningful. It's not. The reality remains the same: Either candidate can win, and we won't know who wins until after the election. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 20, 2022