Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
Completely endorse this analysis. I’ll note that I struggle somewhat how to convey this situation in English. Biden more likely than not won’t be the nominee, but his odds of becoming the nominee seem a lot better than any other particular person’s odds. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
More? Yes, it's very early. But candidates w/ high name id who are polling around 30% at this point win 40% of the… https://t.co/Z1JIm0OBs2