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Cameron Joseph

@cam_joseph ↗

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Last Checked April 24, 2021

Created

Thu Apr 08 16:42:08 +0000 2021

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Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph

@kilometerbryman i read the story! it makes some good points. and i don't put much stock in poll movement generally, but when i see dozens of polls from multiple pollsters showing the same thing over an extended period that's backed up by modeling on both sides, i tend to give it a bit of weight. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 8, 2021

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Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph

I saw private polling on both sides that had him running consistently 1-2 pts ahead of Biden for months until the scandal hit, and they then pulled even. I think it definitely hurt him, likely enough to cost him the race. — PolitiTweet.org

J. Miles Coleman @JMilesColeman

Though Cal Cunningham's scandal likely wasn't decisive in #NCSen in 2020, I think it still cost him votes. I circle… https://t.co/tqTKiMlZJd

Posted April 8, 2021

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Cameron Joseph @cam_joseph

@kilometerbryman yeah, honestly i mostly agree with miles here. but there's clearly a range of play between the NCGOV results and prez. and while tillis was lagging trump more than cunningham was leading biden in most private polling, cunningham was up a bit more for quite some time. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 8, 2021

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