(((Harry Enten)))

@ForecasterEnten ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 7, 2020

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Mon Sep 14 12:00:44 +0000 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Two general rules for crosstab analysis. 1. Compile as many polls as you can. For some tabs (say white voters), a few will do cause you can get sample size up fast. For others, you'll need many. 2. Try to make an apples to apples (e.g. pre-election to pre-election polls). 1/? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 14, 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Assuming Biden gets NE-2 and holds the Clinton states, winning in AZ means he only needs 2 of the 3 (MI, PA, WI). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 14, 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

When looking at a Black voter crosstab, i've seen the margins differ by 30+ pts... and methodologies/samples of pre-election & exits can differ. I'm not claiming one is right. Rather to understand any direction of change, best to compare like polls to another. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 14, 2020