(((Harry Enten)))

@ForecasterEnten ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 28, 2020

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Fri Jul 31 13:00:21 +0000 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Working on something w/ Midwest white voters & Trump 2016 vs. 2020. Midwest polls were too pro-Clinton in 16 in large part cause they overestimated Dem vote among whites. 1 small nugget: even using those elevated baselines, Biden's still clearly outperforming Clinton among whites — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 31, 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

NYC has some very tumultuous elections... I don't remember 77, 89, or 93... but that final 1.5 months of 2001 was something else. And 2013 was its own version of weird (Weiner and Spitzer!). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 31, 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Look we still got like 95 days to go, but I tend to think that when an incumbent tweets about delaying the election and his campaign pauses tv ads to review their strategy... It can't be a good sign for the incumbent's chances. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 31, 2020