(((Harry Enten)))

@ForecasterEnten ↗

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Last Checked July 28, 2020

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Tue Jul 28 19:34:02 +0000 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@Nate_Cohn Can I guess? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 28, 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

This is an average gap for a prez election. It's been 1.8 points in the 41 elections since the Republican Party was founded... — PolitiTweet.org

So we do show an Electoral College vs. popular vote gap that works in Trump's favor, although it's about half as large as in 2016.

Posted July 28, 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Based on some simplistic modeling stuff I've been doing (nothing big from me), I'd estimate Biden has something like a 3 in 4 to 4 in 5 shot of winning at this point. That's based on polling data since 1940... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 29, 2020