(((Harry Enten)))

@ForecasterEnten ↗

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Last Checked July 22, 2020

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Wed Jul 22 22:40:52 +0000 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

In the Dems, Biden is outrunning Clinton by an average of 11 pts. In the GOP seats, Biden is outrunning Clinton by an average of 4 pts. Assuming a 3-4 pt house effect for when a side releases, the two are consistent. With Biden outrunning Clinton by 7 to 8 pts. (2/?) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 22, 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

From what I can, there have been 7 Dem House internal polls taken & released this month. 5 of 7 (71%) have included a prez race question. Meanwhile, 8 GOP house internal polls taken & released this month. 3 of 8 (38%) included a prez race question. (1/?) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 22, 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

It's also consistent with a Biden advantage nationally of 9 or 10 points... which incidentally is about where the polls have it... So it would seem to me, the parties are likely seeing in their polling what we're generally seeing in the public polling. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 22, 2020