(((Harry Enten)))

@ForecasterEnten ↗

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Last Checked July 22, 2020

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Tue Jul 21 13:16:50 +0000 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

This comes on top of what I wrote about last month, which showed Biden underperforming Clinton with Hispanic voters. So through the Trump presidency, he's lost among white voters and picked up among nonwhite voters. https://t.co/QCrXuif8Qp — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 21, 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I'll further add that in a smaller subset of polls Biden's net favorability looks to be about 10 points lower with black voters than Clinton was at the end of 2016 campaign. Trump's, if anything, is slightly higher (5 pts). https://t.co/bAZY1LGnMQ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 21, 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Going forward, I'd think that makeup of the Biden coalition (at least right now) suggests he may have an easier electoral map through the Great Lake than Sunbelt battlegrounds given white voters make up a disproportionate share in the Great Lakes. https://t.co/QCrXuif8Qp — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 21, 2020