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(((Harry Enten)))

@ForecasterEnten ↗

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Last Checked July 22, 2020

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Sat Jun 27 18:35:26 +0000 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Correct. In the piece I note Ford, as the only incumbent to LOSE with a positive net approval. I can't prove it, but I think appointed incumbent races are different. In the Senate, where we can prove it, they definitely are. https://t.co/meGQPQtr0A — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Also it has always struck me that the two incumbents who have mounted late comebacks—Truman and Ford—had not previo… https://t.co/g8jcBdQBuN

Posted June 27, 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

There have been candidates who recover from Trump-like deficits (e.g. George Bush in 1988), but they are rarely incumbents... 90%+ of voters have an opinion of Trump. When there have been big comebacks, 70% or less have an opinion of the prez candidates. https://t.co/6ZaDWDi9y3 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 27, 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Trump hasn't held a lead in a single live interview national poll this entire year. He's the first prez incumbent for who that is true in any election in the polling era. Other incumbents who were trailing at this point (Truman, Ford, Carter) led in polls earlier in the year. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 27, 2020