(((Harry Enten)))

@ForecasterEnten ↗

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Last Checked May 19, 2020

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Sat Apr 18 15:32:48 +0000 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

The big asterisk here is what happened in 2018... though I think there's at least a pretty decent argument to make that FL compared to the MI/PA/WI saw a much less pro-Dem electorate in 2018... which could resolve itself in a prez year. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 18, 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Two other pts... 1. If we believe seniors are more Dem leaning than in 16 (which polling suggests), FL would be a place you'd see it. 2. People do remember FL was less than 0.5 pts more Trump leaning in 16 than PA and WI, right? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 18, 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

The polling on stay at home is pretty clear... Most are agreement with the orders. In fact, it usually runs in the neighborhood of 3:1 to 4:1+ in favor... It's a huge majority. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 19, 2020