(((Harry Enten)))

@ForecasterEnten ↗

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Last Checked May 8, 2020

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Sun Apr 05 14:39:59 +0000 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@PatrickRuffini I like this whole thread. Two thoughts: 1. I think folks need a sense of it getting better than worse. 2. I'm unsure 02 is a great (though it may be the best) comparison cause the correlation between the economy & midterms is far shakier. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 5, 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

A lot of these models rely on Q2... As I hinted at in last tweet, that's fine for a guide... but this sort of things shows the potential limits to using one quarter out of many in black swan situations. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 4, 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Seems to be a hot topic today, so I'll repost my video from yesterday... How 2020 could break some election forecasting models (e.g. one model based mostly on 2nd GDP may project Trump winning an impossible negative electoral votes) https://t.co/OlNGbJebvf https://t.co/NmbwWDHWNy https://t.co/2bG98KSDis — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 5, 2020