(((Harry Enten)))

@ForecasterEnten ↗

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Last Checked May 8, 2020

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Sat Apr 04 22:19:53 +0000 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

As I discussed more in the video, probably better to know whether folks think the economy is getting better or worse by E-Day. Given Trump has underperformed relative to economic reviews so far, tough to see him winning if folks think economy is getting worse. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 4, 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Today's Video (after my keyboard broke Friday): Black swan alert. Some 2nd Q GDP forecasts are so dire (~35% shrinkage) that one well known model will project Trump winning an impossible negative 440 electoral votes if those GDP forecasts (-35%) are right. https://t.co/OlNGbJebvf https://t.co/ySq1p2V9Vb — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 4, 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@GerryDales I called it darkly humorous to someone. Dark cause no one wants to see this. Humorous because it shows the limits of this type of model. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 4, 2020