(((Harry Enten)))

@ForecasterEnten ↗

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Last Checked April 30, 2020

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Fri Mar 27 14:24:33 +0000 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I'm not sure the past week changes my priors too much there... Probably better to reassess in a few weeks... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 27, 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

We know Trump was in awful historical polling position before the pandemic hit in sense he was behind Biden by 7. (Almost all incumbents are up at this point.) Even so there was a 1/3+ shot he'd end up winning popular vote & was closer to break even in electoral college. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 27, 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@amyewalter Perhaps the only thing I can think of similarly was perhaps Carter. In that, the crisis went on... and on... and on. No guarantee of the same outcome of course. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 27, 2020