(((Harry Enten)))

@ForecasterEnten ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 1, 2020

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Sat Jun 22 18:32:20 +0000 2019

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

For example, although Biden gets about 50% of the black vote in this sample... Only about a 5% chance that an individual college educated very liberal black voter would back him. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 22, 2019 Hibernated

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Nerds will get this simple logit, but for everyone else: I combined our last 2 CNN polls. Biden's support is less on left/coll educ & more among blacks/older, but what's key is that it's not just 1 variable explaining others. So we should see diversity of support within any group https://t.co/bEUGh6iFV4 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 22, 2019 Hibernated

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

While this same model would suggest that there is a 90% chance a very conservative 75 year-old white Democrat without a college degree would back Biden. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 22, 2019 Hibernated